1 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:07,150 - Rain events will not greatly impact the site, 2 00:01:07,150 --> 00:01:11,420 due to gentle topography and well-drained soils. 3 00:01:11,420 --> 00:01:14,317 And then the high end of the scale 4 00:01:14,317 --> 00:01:18,040 says, heavier rain events will greatly impact the site 5 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,480 and lead to erosion on steep slopes 6 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,860 and flooding in low lying areas. 7 00:01:22,860 --> 00:01:25,790 Another feature that helps users 8 00:01:25,790 --> 00:01:28,400 decide how to ready themselves on these impacts, 9 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,350 is the small blue icons that can be clicked on 10 00:01:31,350 --> 00:01:34,710 for some more specific information on each impact. 11 00:01:34,710 --> 00:01:38,070 So then after reading their site on those 10 different 12 00:01:38,070 --> 00:01:41,570 impacts, users give themselves an overall rating 13 00:01:41,570 --> 00:01:42,890 based on what they surmise 14 00:01:42,890 --> 00:01:44,940 from going through those other questions. 15 00:01:47,300 --> 00:01:51,150 And then users move into the adaptive capacity assessment. 16 00:01:51,150 --> 00:01:53,680 So they use a similar sliding scale here, 17 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:57,730 but this time to rate these various site characteristics 18 00:01:57,730 --> 00:02:00,890 that contribute to assistant's ability to cope with 19 00:02:00,890 --> 00:02:03,890 and adapt to changing conditions in the services. 20 00:02:03,890 --> 00:02:06,720 So, whereas, a high rating on the impacts assessment 21 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,090 was a negative thing. 22 00:02:08,090 --> 00:02:11,870 A high rating for these favor factors is favorable 23 00:02:11,870 --> 00:02:15,390 and contributes to reducing overall vulnerability. 24 00:02:15,390 --> 00:02:19,250 So for example, for the level of landscape connectivity, 25 00:02:19,250 --> 00:02:23,330 the low end of the scale says that the site is small 26 00:02:23,330 --> 00:02:25,930 and isolated or surrounded by agricultural 27 00:02:25,930 --> 00:02:27,220 or developed land. 28 00:02:27,220 --> 00:02:28,550 And the high end of the scale, 29 00:02:28,550 --> 00:02:31,840 says that the site is part of a large complex of forest 30 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:33,960 or other ecosystems. 31 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:34,793 And then again, 32 00:02:34,793 --> 00:02:37,770 after considering each of these individual characteristics, 33 00:02:37,770 --> 00:02:41,293 users give themselves an overall adaptive capacity rating. 34 00:02:43,920 --> 00:02:45,410 So that's the assessment. 35 00:02:45,410 --> 00:02:47,510 And then after doing the work 36 00:02:47,510 --> 00:02:50,829 of thinking really comprehensively about their stand, 37 00:02:50,829 --> 00:02:54,860 users are presented with this results summary page. 38 00:02:54,860 --> 00:02:58,020 So, the combination of those overall ratings from impacts 39 00:02:58,020 --> 00:02:59,470 and adaptive capacity, 40 00:02:59,470 --> 00:03:01,640 if the user final vulnerability rating, 41 00:03:01,640 --> 00:03:04,533 which in this example case you can see it was moderate. 42 00:03:05,556 --> 00:03:06,389 And then you can see 43 00:03:06,389 --> 00:03:09,520 also that your answers place you within this matrix 44 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:11,240 that gives you a more nuanced sense 45 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,940 of that vulnerability result. 46 00:03:13,940 --> 00:03:17,570 And then the ratings of the other individual components 47 00:03:17,570 --> 00:03:21,930 in the assessment inform which of these issues of concern 48 00:03:21,930 --> 00:03:25,840 appear on the results page. 49 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,570 And so in this case, you can see invasive plants 50 00:03:28,570 --> 00:03:30,640 are favoring pests and pathogens, 51 00:03:30,640 --> 00:03:32,050 and those are each clickable 52 00:03:32,050 --> 00:03:35,140 and will bring you to an interactive page. 53 00:03:35,140 --> 00:03:38,080 So, if you rated yourself really high on insect, pests 54 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:39,970 and forest disease impacts, 55 00:03:39,970 --> 00:03:42,860 you'll be able to access some more information on that, 56 00:03:42,860 --> 00:03:45,410 including potential adaptation approaches, 57 00:03:45,410 --> 00:03:49,330 relevant resources, ideas related to monitoring, 58 00:03:49,330 --> 00:03:51,900 and importantly, some on the ground examples 59 00:03:51,900 --> 00:03:54,010 from other managers in new England 60 00:03:54,010 --> 00:03:55,830 who are working on projects 61 00:03:55,830 --> 00:04:00,060 where they're addressing specific pest and disease concerns. 62 00:04:00,060 --> 00:04:02,090 (keyboard clicking) 63 00:04:02,090 --> 00:04:05,200 Then when you scroll further down the results page, 64 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,350 you'll see a range of adaptation pathways presented, 65 00:04:08,350 --> 00:04:12,450 including resistance, resilience, transition, and no action. 66 00:04:12,450 --> 00:04:14,790 And so if you click on any one of these, 67 00:04:14,790 --> 00:04:17,030 you'll access another interactive page 68 00:04:17,030 --> 00:04:20,710 with an overall conceptual description of that pathway, 69 00:04:20,710 --> 00:04:23,570 along with a table of potential adaptation actions 70 00:04:23,570 --> 00:04:26,500 based on different site conditions. 71 00:04:26,500 --> 00:04:29,070 So, these example adaptation actions 72 00:04:29,070 --> 00:04:32,610 are largely based of a suite of resources created by NIACS 73 00:04:32,610 --> 00:04:34,520 called adaptation menus. 74 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,590 And it's important to note that they're not recommendations 75 00:04:37,590 --> 00:04:40,930 or prescriptions but rather options for professionals 76 00:04:40,930 --> 00:04:44,160 to consider when they're making specific decisions 77 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,303 within their management context. 78 00:04:47,610 --> 00:04:49,170 And then last but not least, 79 00:04:49,170 --> 00:04:52,830 all of this information on the results page, 80 00:04:52,830 --> 00:04:54,820 including the issues of concern pages 81 00:04:54,820 --> 00:04:57,360 and these various adaptation pathways 82 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,890 are bundled up into a downloadable PDF report. 83 00:05:00,890 --> 00:05:03,310 So that's something that's really handy and can be used 84 00:05:03,310 --> 00:05:06,940 to inform management plans or reference with partners 85 00:05:06,940 --> 00:05:07,883 and landowners. 86 00:05:08,820 --> 00:05:10,280 So, that's an overview 87 00:05:10,280 --> 00:05:13,290 of the Oak Resiliency Assessment Tool. 88 00:05:13,290 --> 00:05:16,120 And if that was a little fast or you want to explore 89 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:18,650 further, I encourage you to visit the website 90 00:05:18,650 --> 00:05:20,220 and try it out yourself. 91 00:05:20,220 --> 00:05:23,200 And Logan is actually going to share it another opportunity 92 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,253 to familiarize yourself with the tool. 93 00:05:29,810 --> 00:05:30,643 - Thanks, Maddy. 94 00:05:30,643 --> 00:05:31,680 And yes. 95 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,560 So I just dropped in the chat window a few resources. 96 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,390 The first one is a link to the tool itself, 97 00:05:37,390 --> 00:05:40,710 and there is a new tutorial on the website now 98 00:05:40,710 --> 00:05:43,560 that you can watch to get a lot of the same information 99 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,350 you just received from Mandy, but more in depth. 100 00:05:46,350 --> 00:05:48,740 Additionally, we are hosting a workshop Wednesday, 101 00:05:48,740 --> 00:05:53,360 January 19th at 4:00 pm for a in-depth workshop 102 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,130 on how to use the tool and contribute data to the project. 103 00:05:57,130 --> 00:05:58,120 And then lastly, 104 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,790 the last resource there is Oak resiliency resources 105 00:06:00,790 --> 00:06:02,640 on the Forest Stewards Guild website. 106 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:05,070 And we have a collection compilation 107 00:06:05,070 --> 00:06:07,310 of many different resources there, 108 00:06:07,310 --> 00:06:11,230 both for landowners and resource professionals to explore, 109 00:06:11,230 --> 00:06:15,130 to help us all think about Oak resiliency and the landscape. 110 00:06:15,130 --> 00:06:18,370 I think that is all I have for that slide. 111 00:06:18,370 --> 00:06:20,640 And we can move on to questions. 112 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:23,520 I just want to thank forest ecosystem monitoring cooperative 113 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,320 for all of it, their support, 114 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,310 as we develop this tool and project in Northern Institute 115 00:06:28,310 --> 00:06:30,110 of applied climate science, my employer, 116 00:06:30,110 --> 00:06:31,840 the Forest Stewards Guild. 117 00:06:31,840 --> 00:06:33,480 If you want to get in contact with us, 118 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,960 my email is on the screen logan@forestguild.org 119 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:41,480 and Maddy's is as well, mjbaroli@mtu.edu. 120 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:44,270 You can also follow us on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, 121 00:06:44,270 --> 00:06:45,336 and Twitter. 122 00:06:45,336 --> 00:06:47,790 That is all we have for our presentation. 123 00:06:47,790 --> 00:06:50,490 And we are happy to dive into questions at this point. 124 00:06:52,020 --> 00:06:54,753 - Yeah, this is Jerry in New York. 125 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,313 I'm interested in, 126 00:06:58,467 --> 00:07:01,870 have you a mass scenario-based results 127 00:07:01,870 --> 00:07:05,010 from this survey or this form yet? 128 00:07:05,010 --> 00:07:07,170 That would be really interesting to see. 129 00:07:07,170 --> 00:07:11,920 And obviously any one of these things will be a temporal 130 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,640 window. The result would be a temporal window. 131 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,490 What, what do you, how do you anticipate that being used? 132 00:07:18,580 --> 00:07:20,140 - Thanks for the question, Jerry. 133 00:07:20,140 --> 00:07:25,140 So, to date there's 160 plus records in the tool itself. 134 00:07:25,190 --> 00:07:28,140 However, most of those are test runs at this point. 135 00:07:28,140 --> 00:07:30,450 This year, we've done a lot of work to get the tool ready 136 00:07:30,450 --> 00:07:32,070 for public launch. 137 00:07:32,070 --> 00:07:35,670 When we had our initial training back in July, 138 00:07:35,670 --> 00:07:37,610 that was in beta form at that point. 139 00:07:37,610 --> 00:07:41,140 And so a lot of the tests come from that and tool creators 140 00:07:41,140 --> 00:07:43,400 as we thought about how the tool is going to work. 141 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,020 And so there's only a few records in there right now 142 00:07:46,020 --> 00:07:49,610 in terms of that are spatially relevant, but you're right. 143 00:07:49,610 --> 00:07:52,140 There's going to be some changes over time 144 00:07:52,140 --> 00:07:54,600 with this as well. So it's really just a snapshot, 145 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:55,547 but once we get the tool out there 146 00:07:55,547 --> 00:07:58,320 and we get people using it through these workshops 147 00:07:58,320 --> 00:07:59,840 and other opportunities, 148 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,170 we're hoping to collect enough data records 149 00:08:03,170 --> 00:08:04,760 to really show across the landscape 150 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:09,160 what Oak vulnerability looks like in the region. 151 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:09,993 - Yeah, thanks. 152 00:08:09,993 --> 00:08:13,530 I just wanted to add, I work at a national level as well, 153 00:08:13,530 --> 00:08:17,590 and the Midwest and Southeast foresters 154 00:08:17,590 --> 00:08:19,830 are all really concerned about Oak decline there. 155 00:08:19,830 --> 00:08:22,860 So it'd be really interesting to have your interaction 156 00:08:22,860 --> 00:08:24,860 with any of them, get this kind of a tool 157 00:08:24,860 --> 00:08:29,280 so that we have the same types of data being collected 158 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,423 for the whole Northeast and Midwest say. 159 00:08:33,220 --> 00:08:35,280 - I'll defer to Maddy on that question. 160 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:37,010 - Yeah, that's definitely good. 161 00:08:37,010 --> 00:08:39,720 Good thinking, Jerry. And I think that, 162 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:44,580 ideally this sets us up to go in that direction. 163 00:08:44,580 --> 00:08:47,570 It's been really fantastic working with this team 164 00:08:47,570 --> 00:08:49,300 and putting this together. 165 00:08:49,300 --> 00:08:50,770 And so, yeah, 166 00:08:50,770 --> 00:08:53,830 we're really just getting it off the ground in this region, 167 00:08:53,830 --> 00:08:57,010 but hopefully through some of our lessons learned 168 00:08:57,010 --> 00:08:58,500 through this process, 169 00:08:58,500 --> 00:09:01,420 we can look at how this could be adapted 170 00:09:01,420 --> 00:09:03,223 into other landscapes for sure. 171 00:09:04,500 --> 00:09:05,710 - There's a question in the chat 172 00:09:05,710 --> 00:09:08,240 that answer kind of answers it, 173 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:11,010 but it's do you folks envision being able to adapt this tool 174 00:09:11,010 --> 00:09:13,403 for other tree species or geographies? 175 00:09:14,530 --> 00:09:17,390 - Yeah. You know, we've tooled around at NIACS 176 00:09:17,390 --> 00:09:21,120 with some other tools similar to this 177 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:22,470 that maybe are a little more focused 178 00:09:22,470 --> 00:09:25,240 on like the Northern hardwoods community, 179 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,850 but I really can't speak to those too much 180 00:09:27,850 --> 00:09:31,128 cause they're the charge of some other coworkers of mine, 181 00:09:31,128 --> 00:09:35,750 but we definitely, you know, we integrated a lot of NIACS 182 00:09:35,750 --> 00:09:40,540 resources into this process that we do have available 183 00:09:40,540 --> 00:09:43,090 for other forest types. 184 00:09:43,090 --> 00:09:46,590 So I imagine we could yeah. Iterate that process, 185 00:09:46,590 --> 00:09:49,170 but I can't speak so much right now 186 00:09:49,170 --> 00:09:52,563 to any projects that are like started currently. 187 00:09:54,295 --> 00:09:56,830 This might not be a question that anyone has, 188 00:09:56,830 --> 00:09:58,010 but I wanted to bring it up 189 00:09:58,010 --> 00:10:01,600 cause I didn't include it in my section of the presentation, 190 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:02,730 but it can also, 191 00:10:02,730 --> 00:10:05,340 the tool can easily be used on a smartphone. 192 00:10:05,340 --> 00:10:07,840 So that's obviously a really great feature 193 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:09,760 when you're out in the field. 194 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,780 We had folks use it on a smartphone in the hybrid workshop 195 00:10:13,780 --> 00:10:16,410 in July and it sounded like it worked really well. 196 00:10:16,410 --> 00:10:17,910 So I just wanted to note that. 197 00:10:18,810 --> 00:10:21,110 - And just to build off Maddy's thoughts on using it 198 00:10:21,110 --> 00:10:22,240 on a smartphone, 199 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,010 there's also an opportunity here for consulting foresters 200 00:10:25,010 --> 00:10:28,443 to use the tool live in the field with their clients, 201 00:10:28,443 --> 00:10:31,350 as they're working together to figure out what objectives 202 00:10:31,350 --> 00:10:34,270 they have for the property and in what issues might arise 203 00:10:34,270 --> 00:10:36,220 in trying to reach those objectives, 204 00:10:36,220 --> 00:10:37,450 working through the tool together 205 00:10:37,450 --> 00:10:40,670 can be a great way to build that kind of communication 206 00:10:40,670 --> 00:10:42,280 and collaboration around the stewardship 207 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:43,623 of the specific property. 208 00:10:47,010 --> 00:10:49,070 Not hearing any other questions. 209 00:10:49,070 --> 00:10:52,260 Another additional thought that I'll throw out there 210 00:10:52,260 --> 00:10:55,780 is the report that it generates is a great addendum 211 00:10:55,780 --> 00:10:56,920 to course management plan. 212 00:10:56,920 --> 00:10:59,870 So, you can add to the life of the property, 213 00:10:59,870 --> 00:11:01,840 the forest management plan developed by the consulting 214 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,740 foresters, a great resource for the landowner already, 215 00:11:04,740 --> 00:11:07,890 but the PDF report is just an added value to that, 216 00:11:07,890 --> 00:11:11,003 to really think about Oak resiliency itself. 217 00:11:12,580 --> 00:11:16,290 Oh there's one, will we hear an update next year's FEMC 218 00:11:16,290 --> 00:11:19,310 after more data have come in? I hope so. 219 00:11:19,310 --> 00:11:22,150 It'd be great to be back here to share all the great success 220 00:11:22,150 --> 00:11:23,580 that we've had given the tool out there 221 00:11:23,580 --> 00:11:24,943 in the upcoming year. 222 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,620 Amanda, thanks for the question. 223 00:11:28,620 --> 00:11:32,473 As we kind of wind down here, as we roll this tool out 224 00:11:32,473 --> 00:11:35,700 and try to get more people using it on the ground, 225 00:11:35,700 --> 00:11:38,387 we really wanna hear from you and how it's working for you. 226 00:11:38,387 --> 00:11:40,540 And we really just want to get a lot of data collected 227 00:11:40,540 --> 00:11:43,520 so we can get this big picture of the landscape 228 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:44,920 in terms of Oak resiliency 229 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,660 and how vulnerable they are to the various stressors 230 00:11:47,660 --> 00:11:50,530 that they have impacting them. 231 00:11:50,530 --> 00:11:52,720 So thank you all for being here today. We appreciate 232 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:54,683 the opportunity to present this to you. 233 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:57,870 - Yeah, it would be great to clear out that cache 234 00:11:57,870 --> 00:12:00,700 of all the test runs at this point and yeah. 235 00:12:00,700 --> 00:12:03,482 See some more real data points in there 236 00:12:03,482 --> 00:12:06,900 and hear from folks on how they like the tools. 237 00:12:06,900 --> 00:12:09,693 So, thanks everybody for tuning in today.